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NewEconomicThinking
NewEconomicThinking·February 10, 2021

The Digital Revolution and the State: Venture Capital, Industrial Policy, and Global Transformations

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Summary

At a macro level, the digital revolution has transcended national borders, transforming the global economy and disrupting political processes. The "second globalization," enabled by IT, facilitated an unprecedented free movement of goods, services, and capital, but also reduced the robustness of global supply chains, as starkly revealed by the coronavirus pandemic. Financialization, the third dimension, saw an unsustainable increase in leverage within the banking system, where the pursuit of efficiency directly compromised robustness, culminating in the 2008 credit crisis. This interplay of globalization and financialization, coupled with the digital revolution's impact on political integrity, highlights Danny Rodrik's political trilemma, forcing states to grapple with deep economic integration, national autonomy, and responsive government, while simultaneously preparing for future challenges like the green revolution in response to climate change.

Key Quotes

the foundations of the digital revolution were all sponsored and funded by the united states department of defense
we must step outside of the framework of neoclassical economics to grasp the dynamics of the ict revolution
federal financing of i.t as a public good had enormous implications for intellectual property and accelerated the diffusion of new knowledge
the antitrust interventions opened up the it sector to competitive entry by new companies
the result is the flood of software defined web-delivered services indeed a darwinian explosion of innovative applications
the digital revolution has evolved to attack the authority of the state at the micro level enabling assaults on the regulatory ecosystems of established markets and at the macro level enabling a new wave of automation globalization and financialization that challenge the state's ability to buffer its constituents from disruptive change
productivity growth has slowed markedly across the developed world generating an intense academic and policy debate
intangible capital reduces marginal costs and increases fixed costs it confers competitive advantage on the first movers whose lower costs in turn chill competition from potential new entrants and cut aggregate productivity growth in the longer term
the pursuit of efficiency in the construction and management of global supply chains directly and necessarily reduced their robustness as we have learned in the under the impact of the coronavirus pandemic
you can have deep economic integration you can function as an autonomous nation state and you can have representative responsive government two out of three

Concepts

Themes

  • The foundational role of the state in technological innovation
  • The evolution of economic structures and market dynamics in the digital age
  • The tension between efficiency and robustness in economic systems
  • The impact of digitalization on labor markets and work organization
  • The challenges of globalization and financialization to national sovereignty
  • The undermining of state authority and political processes by digital technologies
  • The paradox of slowing productivity growth amidst rapid technological advancement
  • The critical role of intellectual property regimes in shaping competition and innovation

Related to:

Economics Insights

Policy Interventions

  • State sponsorship of R&D
  • Antitrust interventions
  • Federal financing of IT as public good
  • Procurement function

Economic Indicators Discussed

  • Productivity growth
  • Industrial concentration
  • Market power
  • Labor's share of income
  • Financial assets to GDP ratio
  • Cross-border bank claims

Industry Transformations

  • Shift from hardware to software to data
  • Vertical to horizontal industry structure
  • Military to commercial market focus
  • Emergence of open-source platforms

Economic Theories Challenged

  • Neoclassical economics framework
  • National income accounting limitations

Risks Identified

  • Unicorn bubble
  • Lower signal-to-noise ratio in data
  • Fragile global supply chains
  • Financial system insolvency due to leverage
  • Undermining of political process
  • Political trilemma stresses

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