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NewEconomicThinking
NewEconomicThinking·March 4, 2021

The Pandemic's Unmasking: Systemic Failures, Eroding Trust, and the Path to a New Economic Thinking

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Summary

This podcast episode, featuring Rob Johnson and Marshall Auerback, delves into the profound implications of the COVID-19 pandemic and the transition to the Biden administration, arguing that the pandemic served as an "unmasking" of deep-seated systemic failures rather than merely a crisis. While acknowledging a widespread sense of relief post-Trump, Auerback expresses concern that a return to the "status quo ante" of the Obama era would be insufficient and potentially dangerous, fearing a future authoritarian figure more adept at manipulating government machinery. The discussion highlights the erosion of public trust in government and expertise, attributing it to issues like financial deregulation, the 2008 bailouts, and the perceived capture of government by moneyed interests, leading to a "commodification of social design and enforcement."

The conversation draws key distinctions between Biden's initial, bolder fiscal approach (rejecting Larry Summers' advice and aligning with Bernie Sanders) and Obama's perceived "tepidness of reform" and "faux bipartisanship." It critiques the American healthcare system, noting its high cost and poor outcomes compared to other OECD countries, and questions the efficacy of merely expanding Obamacare without addressing fundamental structural flaws. The speakers also differentiate the US pandemic response from more successful models in countries like Taiwan, South Korea, and New Zealand, emphasizing the importance of robust public health infrastructure and government-led initiatives over market-based solutions. A critical nuance is the idea that the pandemic, while not a financial crisis, was used to "shove a lot of money to entities that probably didn't deserve it" without sufficient conditionality or support for ordinary people.

Practical insights include the necessity of prioritizing "resiliency and redundancy" over mere efficiency in the economy, moving away from the "Apple model" of outsourcing all manufacturing, which creates significant vulnerabilities. The success of "Operation Warp Speed" in vaccine development, driven by government pre-purchasing and underwriting, is presented as a template for future collective action, particularly for tackling climate change. This model underscores the idea of government not just as an umpire, but as a platform to establish markets and direct national development, challenging "market fundamentalism." The speakers suggest that political will, as demonstrated by figures like Bernie Sanders in the budget committee, is crucial for implementing large-scale, transformative policies.

The broader implications revolve around the urgent need for structural reform to prevent future political instability and address existential threats like climate change. The pandemic has exposed how deeply entrenched rent-seeking behavior and the military-industrial complex have become, influencing other sectors like pharma and Wall Street. The discussion posits that if the political will can be marshaled for a "Manhattan-style project" for climate change, similar to the vaccine effort or Canada's World War II mobilization, society can overcome seemingly insurmountable challenges. The episode ultimately argues that the pandemic has revealed the fragility of existing systems and the profound stakes involved in choosing leaders who are willing to challenge the status quo and restore faith in a government that serves the broader public purpose.

Key Quotes

"if he does my fear is the next time it won't be trump it'll be some guy that actually knows how the machinery of government works and will be far more dangerous and then i think we're really in trouble"
"the pandemic is an unmasking which says our health systems weren't right globalization has side effects not all of our preparations were adequate to give us confidence in our social safety safety nets and health systems"
"it's not that government can't be an alternative to unfettered free markets it's that government that is commodified and captured is not going to be something you can put your faith into"
"trump was as much a consequence as a as a cause of that"
"you've got policy cutting across one know at cross purposes"
"we didn't bail out people we bailed out assets"
"we've been conned under what i call this collective surgical mask and you know everything's been obscured because you were able the government was able to use this pandemic to you know and to shove a lot of money to entities that probably didn't deserve it"
"if you're not making stuff there is a substantial skill degradation and you create significant vulnerabilities"
"we have to give consideration to resiliency and redundancy in our economy and not just efficiency"
"the mythology that the free market does it all by itself as opposed to the free market is an important element of propulsion if it's being directed by the state properly"
"the market is a very very powerful mechanism but you can shape it towards a much broader social purpose it's a tool not a deity"
"if the martians attacked us tonight well maybe we would know what that secret defense budget was all about why it was so big but we start responding very quickly"

Concepts

Themes

  • Erosion of public trust and expertise
  • Government's role in crisis response and economic development
  • Systemic corruption and money in politics
  • Vulnerabilities of globalization and outsourcing
  • The future of democracy and authoritarianism
  • Healthcare system failures and reform
  • Climate change and collective action
  • The limits of market fundamentalism

Related to:

Economics Insights

Economic Policies Discussed

  • Fiscal stimulus packages
  • Minimum wage policy
  • Healthcare reform (Obamacare, Medicare for All)
  • Industrial policy (government R&D, pre-purchasing)
  • Austerity measures
  • Financial deregulation and bailouts

Economic Theories Challenged

  • Market fundamentalism
  • Neoliberal approach (efficiency over resiliency)
  • Belief in unfettered free markets as sole solution
  • The idea that government should only be an 'umpire'

Comparative Economic Systems

  • US market-based healthcare vs. European/Canadian nationalized systems
  • US pandemic response vs. Taiwan, South Korea, Japan, New Zealand
  • Chinese economic model (mentioned in context of 'Capitalism on a Ventilator')
  • Canadian economic planning (Christina Freeland's approach)

Policy Recommendations

  • Bold government action (doing 'too much rather than too little')
  • Prioritizing resiliency and redundancy in supply chains
  • Government as a platform for national development and market creation
  • Addressing systemic corruption and money in politics
  • Mobilizing resources for climate change (Manhattan-style project)
  • Reforming healthcare to be more affordable and effective

Historical Economic Parallels

  • FDR's New Deal era and trust in government
  • Warren Harding's 'return to normalcy'
  • The Great Depression's impact on behavior
  • World War II mobilization (Canada's 'Good War')
  • Cold War dividend and military spending patterns
  • 2008 financial crisis bailouts and lack of accountability

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